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US LAUNCHES 3 SECRET POLYMARKET INVESTIGATIONS

INDUSTRY DESK1 MIN READ
FRI, SEP 11, 2026

■ AI-SUMMARIZED FROM 1 SOURCE ▸ TIMELINE

Federal regulators have launched three previously unreported investigations into trades on Polymarket, the prediction market platform, according to documents obtained by WIRED. The probes target potential insider trading related to Biden pardons, Iran conflict, and Google.

The agency overseeing prediction markets initiated the investigations after detecting suspicious trading patterns on Polymarket, a blockchain-based platform where users bet on real-world outcomes. One investigation examined trades predicting Biden administration pardons. Another focused on trades related to potential Iran military action. A third probe targeted alleged insider trading connected to Google. Polymarket has grown significantly as a forecasting tool, attracting millions in trading volume. However, the platform has faced scrutiny over market manipulation risks and whether traders possessed non-public information when placing bets. The investigations underscore regulatory concerns about prediction markets' vulnerability to insider trading. Polymarket operates in a legal gray area in the US, with regulators still determining appropriate oversight frameworks for the emerging sector. The documents reveal regulators are actively monitoring platform activity for potential violations, though no charges or enforcement actions have been announced.

■ SOURCES

Wired

■ SUMMARY WRITTEN BY AI FROM THE LINKS ABOVE

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